Mortality prediction using a modified R2CHA2DS2-VASc score among hospitalized COVID-19 patients.

The CHA2DS2-VASc score incorporates several comorbidities which have prognostic implications in COVID-19. We assessed whether a modified score (M-R2CHA2DS2-VASc), which includes pre-admission kidney function and male sex, could be used to classify mortality risk among people hospitalized with COVID-19. This retrospective study included adults admitted for COVID-19 between March and December 2020. Pre-admission glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was calculated based on serum creatinine and used for scoring M-R2CHA2DS2-VASc. Participants were categorized according to the M-R2CHA2DS2-VASc categories as 0-1 (low), 2-3 (intermediate), or ≥ 4 (high), and according to initial COVID-19 severity score. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality rates. Secondary outcomes were mortality rates over time, and rates of mechanical ventilation, hemodynamic support, and renal replacement therapy. Eight hundred hospitalizations met the study criteria. Participants were 55% males, average age was 65.2 ± 17 years. There were similar proportions of subjects across the M-R2CHA2DS2-VASc categories. 30-day mortality was higher in those in higher M-R2CHA2DS2-VASc category and with severe or critical COVID-19 at admission. Subjects in the low, intermediate, and high M-R2CHA2DS2-VASc categories had 30-day mortality rates of 4.7%, 17% and 31%, respectively (p < 0.001). Higher category was also associated with increased need for mechanical ventilation and renal replacement therapy. All-cause 90-day mortality remained significantly associated with M-R2CHA2DS2-VASc. The M-R2CHA2DS2-VASc score is associated with 30-day mortality rates among patients hospitalized with COVID-19, and adds predictive value when combined with initial COVID-19 severity.

Disease severity and renal outcomes of patients with chronic kidney disease infected with COVID-19.

INTRODUCTION: While there is evidence of the presence of the coronavirus in the kidneys and resultant acute kidney injury (AKI), information on the effect of chronic kidney disease (CKD) on COVID-19 outcomes and its pathogenesis is currently lacking. METHODS: This retrospective, observational study evaluated the outcomes of all consecutive patients hospitalized during COVID-19 outbreaks in Meir Medical Center. Serum creatinine level was assessed before hospitalization ("baseline serum creatinine") and at admission, as well as minimum and maximum serum creatinine levels during hospitalization. RESULTS: Among 658 patients, 152 had eGFR < 60 ml/min (termed the CKD group), 506 patients served as controls. Patients in the CKD group were older, with higher prevalence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus and atherosclerosis. Disease severity and clinical presentation of CKD group were comparable to that of control group. Odds ratio for AKI was 5.8 (95%CI 3.8-8.7; p < 0.001) in CKD group vs. control group and 3.4 (95%CI 1.1-10.8) for renal replacement therapy (p < 0.026). Among the CKD group, 32.2% died after COVID-19 infection versus 14.8% of the controls (p < 0.001). Mortality increased as CKD stage increased (14.8% in controls, 29.6% in CKD stage 3, and 39.3% in CKD stages 4 and 5, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Despite comparable disease severity at presentation, patients with CKD had significantly more AKI events and required more renal replacement therapy during hospitalization than control patients did. Mortality increased as CKD stage increased.